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Coronavirus: More than 300 COVID-19 patients will be in Ontario ICUs within 10 days, modelling shows

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Dr. Barbara Yaffe, associate chief medical officer of health, and Dr. Adalsteinn Brown, Dean of the Dalla Lana School of Public Health at the University of Toronto and Co-Chair of the Ontario COVID-19 Science Advisory Table, presented on Monday updated modelling on the province's ongoing response to the novel coronavirus pandemic.

Brown said there was a “dramatic growth in cases” and a very strong growth in testing, adding the province was in a “very, very challenging situation in terms of control of the disease.”

He also said the modelling showed that under all scenarios the province will see 300 intensive care unit beds filled within 10 days — double the 150-bed threshold where surgeries must be cancelled.
Under a worst-case-scenario, ICU occupancy could hit 1,500 beds by mid-January.

Brown also discussed the potential “hard" lockdowns in the province, stating that although cases will continue to grow initially, modelling shows that a lockdown of four to six weeks could cut daily case counts to less than 1,000.

The new data came ahead of an afternoon announcement by Premier Doug Ford, where he was expected to reveal new restrictions for the province. Yaffe said the province needs to have measures that will reduce people interacting with others they don't live with, and that changes should begin "as soon as possible," but with time for people to prepare for them.

For more info, please go to https://globalnews.ca/news/7533848/ontario-coronavirus-cases-december-20-covid19/

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Category
U.S. & Canada
Tags
ontario health, ontario health update, ontario covid modelling
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