Coronavirus: BC to present modelling data looking back at first year of pandemic | FULL

British Columbia health officials are once again warning an increase in contact rate would lead to a massive surge of COVID-19, especially in Fraser Health.

Dynamic modelling presented by the province Thursday showed that if British Columbians reduce social contacts the spread of the virus could disappear in the province by May.

But if indoor, non-masked face-to-face contact rates go up just a little more, the province would see daily new cases of the virus climb to more than 1,200 province-wide by May.

The modelling does not factor in the impact of vaccines on spread or what impact the current vaccination plan would have on case counts.

In a regional breakdown, the modelling showed Fraser Health alone could see between 500 and 1,500 new cases a day by May if current trends held.

Provincial Health Officer Dr. Bonnie Henry has also introduced a new provincial health order allowing for outdoor social gatherings of 10 or fewer people.

The new order comes into effect immediately.

Henry said it means British Columbians can meet friends outside and have a coffee or they can meet grandparents outside.

The guidelines will require people to socially distance outdoors but will be able to gather at parks and on private property including backyards.

However, it should be the same 10 people, Henry said, not different groups of 10 people.

For more details: https://globalnews.ca/news/7690761/bc-covid-19-modelling-data-march-11-2021/

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