Canada’s COVID-19 situation looking up, but Delta variant threatens fall, winter | FULL

Hospitalizations and COVID-19 cases continue to decline across Canada, but the highly contagious Delta variant stands a chance of unravelling some of the progress Canada has made, health officials warned Friday.

Modelling released Friday offered an updated picture of the current COVID-19 pandemic, showing that the Delta variant could result in a “greater than previously expected resurgence this fall and winter.”

The first scenario assumes at least 75 per cent of eligible Canadians are fully vaccinated by summer. At this time, if personal protective measures – such as wearing a mask indoors – are lifted, Tam said the Delta variant has the potential to cause a “strong resurgence in the fall and winter.” Such a scenario could overwhelm hospital capacity.

The second scenario – also in the summertime – assumes more than 80 per cent of eligible Canadians are fully vaccinated before personal protective measures are lifted. This scenario could help “counteract the potential impact of the Delta variant, Tam said.

As of Friday, 76.5 per cent of eligible Canadians aged 12 and over have received at least one dose of a COVID-19 vaccine and 23.8 per cent of the population is fully vaccinated.

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